Nifty Market Update
Economic Times • April 4, 2026
Nifty’s Rare 4-Month Losing Streak Just Ended — History Says a 40% Rally Could Be Next
After a sharp 14.8% decline over four months, historical data points to strong rebound potential
Point-wise Summary
End of Rare Losing Streak
Nifty 50 ended its rare four-month losing streak in March 2026 with an overall decline of 14.8%. Such prolonged losing streaks have occurred only 7 times in the index’s history.
Historical Rally Potential
After similar 4+ month losing streaks, Nifty delivered average one-year returns of 40.7% (median 20.8%). Three-month average return: 12.2%. Six-month: 22.4%.
Strong Past Recoveries
Notable examples include +117.9% return after Jan 1991 streak and +65.6% after Aug 1998. Longer declines have historically led to even stronger rebounds.
Market Sentiment & Fund Actions
- • Selloff seen as capitulation point — bottom may be near
- • ICICI Pru raised equity allocation to 61.9% — highest in nearly 5 years
- • Quant MF views it as buying opportunity; expects earnings recovery, reforms & policy support
- • Positive on energy, infra, private banks, pharma, telecom & consumption themes
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Categories: Market Update, Personal Finance
